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Crown Green Handicap

Mark Mcgrath

Team: Upton Victory Hall BDivision: League 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

820

Current Handicap

10
Honours
Season:

11

Matches Played

0

Wins

11

Losses

0%

Win Rate

0.0

Avg Win Margin

11.1

Avg Loss Margin

0-5

Home Record

0-6

Away Record

8%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
11 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 5/16/2025

Only 11 of the 39 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player2/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 11 matches

+10 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

10 May14 Jun12 Jul12 Aug25 Apr16 May-14916

Gives 10 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current10
Win Percentage(40%)
0%
score-1.00→contribution-0.40
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
0.0
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
11.1
score-0.52→contribution-0.08
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
0%
score-1.00→contribution-0.10
Opponent Strength(10%)
820
score-1.00→contribution-0.10
Weighted Score-0.677
Sample Size Confidence
8%(11/39 matches)
Rating661 → shrunk 973→ adjusted 823
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)804
Recency Blend15% (11 recent matches)
Final Rating820
Handicap
10

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

0W11L11 matches·0% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Upton Victory Hall B2024–2025League 2110110%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
5/16/2025Liz StewardsonH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 2
5/9/2025Liam HowardA7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 2
4/25/2025Peter FishwickA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 2
8/23/2024John LeeceA3-21LOSS-18LeagueLeague 2
8/12/2024Barry SmithH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 2
8/2/2024Jaxon McelnayA2-21LOSS-19LeagueLeague 2
7/12/2024Edna CookA20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 2
6/21/2024vs PoultonH4-21LOSS-17LeagueLeague 2
6/14/2024Paul SmithA4-21LOSS-17LeagueLeague 2
5/24/2024Dave BayneH12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 2
5/10/2024David CrawfordH16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 2

Current Streak

11losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

0

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

11

Career worst losing streak

Last 50% win rate
LLLLL
Last 100% win rate— steady
LLLLLLLLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Liz Stewardson0110%5/16/2025
Liam Howard0110%5/9/2025
Peter Fishwick0110%4/25/2025
John Leece0110%8/23/2024
Barry Smith0110%8/12/2024
Jaxon Mcelnay0110%8/2/2024
Edna Cook0110%7/12/2024
Poulton0110%6/21/2024
Paul Smith0110%6/14/2024
Dave Bayne0110%5/24/2024
Heaviest Defeat
Jaxon Mcelnay (-19)8/2/2024
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
0% → 0%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
80210 known · 1 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-10% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
0-90% win rate
League 20%
0W·11L·11 played

Debut

May 10, 2024

Latest

May 16, 2025

Seasons Active

2 (1.0 yr span)

Matches / Season

5.5 (11 total)

Seasons

20242025